Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop


Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel costs


(Adds analyst, background, information in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and likewise reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending the business's share cost down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the price of regular diesel had actually impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated typical similar sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had anticipated because the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from in between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste said.


"Renewable items' prices have been negatively impacted by a significant reduction in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have not reduced and eco-friendly product market value premiums have actually stayed weak," the company included.


Industry executives and experts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are stopping briefly expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable impact on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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